Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Merstham		Kingstonian

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	1.9
	3.2	3.65	1.91
	3.45	3.76	1.96
	3.2	3.75	1.83
	3.34	3.88	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.22)	3.73 ↓ (3.82)	1.91 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merstham
27.9%

Draw
24.4%

Kingstonian
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

23.8%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

18.5%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Kingstonian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merstham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingstonian than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kingstonian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merstham - Kingstonian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kingstonian could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kingstonian will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Merstham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 10-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Merstham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.01.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Merstham	0:1 ✺
15.01.22	Lewes - Merstham	3:0 ✺
01.01.22	Merstham - Wingate & Finchley	3:1 ✺
27.12.21	Folkestone Invicta - Merstham	6:1 ✺
18.12.21	Merstham - Brightlingsea Regent	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL
- Kingstonian
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.01.22	Haringey Borough - Kingstonian	2:3 ✺
22.01.22	Kingstonian - Enfield Town	3:5 ✺
15.01.22	Kingstonian - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
10.01.22	Carshalton Athletic - Kingstonian	1:0 ✺
08.01.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Kingstonian	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.09.21	Kingstonian - Merstham	4:1
06.10.20	Merstham - Kingstonian	1:2
07.12.19	Kingstonian - Merstham	4:0
31.08.19	Merstham - Kingstonian	0:1
22.04.19	Merstham - Kingstonian	2:0
01.01.19	Kingstonian - Merstham	0:0
16.04.18	Kingstonian - Merstham	2:1

Merstham - Kingstonian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide