Match Info

Date: 15 January 2022, Saturday


	Lewes		Merstham

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.4	4.6
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.49	4.6	5.64
	1.53	4	5
	1.47	4.7	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.57)	4.44 ↑ (4.18)	5.11 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
61.5%

Draw
20.6%

Merstham
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

21.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

17.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lewes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Lewes - Merstham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs) and 16).

Lewes is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Merstham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lewes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lewes have a series of guest games.

In this match Lewes is a favorite.

Merstham is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lewes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Lewes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.01.22	Enfield Town - Lewes	1:4 ✺
03.01.22	Kingstonian - Lewes	4:2 ✺
01.01.22	Lewes - Bognor Regis Town	2:0 ✺
27.12.21	Horsham - Lewes	1:3 ✺
11.12.21	Bowers & Pitsea - Lewes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWW
- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.22	Merstham - Wingate & Finchley	3:1 ✺
27.12.21	Folkestone Invicta - Merstham	6:1 ✺
18.12.21	Merstham - Brightlingsea Regent	0:1 ✺
11.12.21	Carshalton Athletic - Merstham	3:1 ✺
04.12.21	Merstham - Horsham	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.09.21	Merstham - Lewes	1:3
20.10.20	Lewes - Merstham	1:0
14.12.19	Merstham - Lewes	2:4
06.04.19	Lewes - Merstham	2:1
19.12.18	Merstham - Lewes	3:2
28.03.16	Merstham - Lewes	2:2
06.01.16	Lewes - Merstham	1:0

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