Match Info

Date: 14 September 2021, Tuesday


	Merstham		Lewes

	1	X	2
	3.1	4	1.82
	3.3	3.7	1.87
	3.74	3.73	1.89
	3.2	4	1.8
	3.62	3.74	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	3.83 ↑ (3.74)	1.85 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merstham
26.9%

Draw
23.8%

Lewes
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

24.7%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

16.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merstham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merstham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lewes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Merstham - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lewes will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Merstham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Merstham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.09.21	Cheshunt - Merstham	0:1 ✺
30.08.21	Merstham - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
28.08.21	Horsham - Merstham	3:0 ✺
21.08.21	Merstham - Potters Bar Town	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Merstham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLLWL
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.09.21	Lewes - Enfield Town	4:1 ✺
30.08.21	Lewes - Horsham	0:0 ✺
28.08.21	Potters Bar Town - Lewes	1:3 ✺
21.08.21	Lewes - Cheshunt	2:2 ✺
14.08.21	Cray Wanderers - Lewes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.10.20	Lewes - Merstham	1:0
14.12.19	Merstham - Lewes	2:4
06.04.19	Lewes - Merstham	2:1
19.12.18	Merstham - Lewes	3:2
28.03.16	Merstham - Lewes	2:2
06.01.16	Lewes - Merstham	1:0

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