Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 32

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Merthyr Town		Bracknell Town

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.1
	1.61	4.43	4.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.65)	4.32 ↑ (3.92)	4.26 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
57.4%

Draw
21.2%

Bracknell Town
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Bracknell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Merthyr Town - Bracknell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Handley T. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Evans K. ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, Simpson K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 3 - 1, Roberts D. ⚽,
59', 4 - 1, Cox C. ⚽,
61', 5 - 1, Rees R. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 10).

Merthyr is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Bracknell is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Merthyr is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1.4:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Merthyr won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
15.02.25	Wimborne Town - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Merthyr Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
04.02.25	Merthyr Town - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Marlow - Merthyr Town	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Merthyr Town - Taunton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTTWW
- Bracknell Town
English Southern League South Division
15.02.25	Swindon Supermarine - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Bracknell Town - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Wimborne Town - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Bracknell Town - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Bracknell Town - Hungerford Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
30.11.24	Bracknell Town - Merthyr Town	1:2
09.03.24	Bracknell Town - Merthyr Town	3:2
10.02.24	Merthyr Town - Bracknell Town	2:3
14.02.23	Bracknell Town - Merthyr Town	1:0
13.08.22	Merthyr Town - Bracknell Town	1:3

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