Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Poole Town		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.05
	2.06	3.5	3.13
	2.09	3.64	3.17	Watch
	2	3.4	2.9
	1.96	3.45	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.81)	3.5 ↓ (3.71)	3.11 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
44.9%

Draw
26%

Havant & Waterlooville
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

24.4%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

25.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poole Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Poole Town - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Poole has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Havant is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Poole is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poole won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Poole won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Poole	10	7	0	3	17:12	5	21
21	Havant & W	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
11.04.26	Chertsey Town - Poole Town	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Poole Town - Wimborne Town	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Evesham United - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Poole Town - Bracknell Town	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Yate Town - Poole Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTTT
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
11.04.26	Plymouth Parkway - Havant & Waterlooville	3:3 ✺
06.04.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gosport Borough	4:0 ✺
03.04.26	Hungerford Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Evesham United	6:1 ✺
21.03.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Berkhamsted	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.12.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Poole Town	0:3
25.01.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Poole Town	2:1
15.10.24	Poole Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:1
English National League South
10.02.18	Poole Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:3
21.10.17	Havant & Waterlooville - Poole Town	2:2

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