Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	UCSA		Metalist Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.15	2.58
	2.49	3.13	2.69	Watch
	2.55	3.02	2.55
	2.57	3	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.18)	3.08 ↓ (3.35)	2.6 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCSA
35.6%

Draw
29.5%

Metalist Kharkiv
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

26.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCSA's form might have worsened.

Metalist Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UCSA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

UCSA - Metalist Kharkiv Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barantsov K. (G) 73. Castro P. 98. Guerreiro V. (C) 18. Lebedev S. 17. Pedro Acacio 81. Popravka Y. 3. Sydorenko D. 7. Sytnykov M. 5. Yevdokymov A. 14. Zakhidnyi P. 28. Zhdanovych O.	25. Rybak V. (C) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 8. Digtyar K. 27. Isaenko Y. 19. Kaydalov D. 7. Lutsiv P. 9. Lutsiv V. 2. Mizyuk O. 5. Pidruchnyi D. 6. Teplyakov D. 20. Vernattus D.
Substitutes
36. Amilakhanov T. 8. Kireev A. 99. Kovalev A. (G) 21. Matheus Fogo 10. Matheusinho 22. Petruk N. 12. Postemskyi O. (G) 78. Wendell 19. Zherebetskyi M.	21. Goryainov O. 39. Gryshchenko I. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 38. Palyanychka K. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 31. Porokh B. 30. Shapovalov I. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 11. Tsvirenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Popravka Y. (Own goal),
10', 1 - 1, Pedro Acacio ⚽,
25', Bagachanskyi M. 🟨,
31', 2 - 1, Lebedev S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zakhidnyi P. ↓, Kireev A. ↑,
55', Vernattus D. 🟨,
58', Lebedev S. 🟨,
66', Lebedev S. ↓, Petruk N. ↑,
66', Castro P. ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
67', Mizyuk O. 🟨,
75', Bagachanskyi M. ↓, Goryainov O. ↑,
75', Lutsiv V. ↓, Sherstyuk Y. ↑,
75', Pedro Acacio ↓, Wendell ↑,
82', Isaenko Y. ↓, Orikhovskyi M. ↑,
83', Goryainov O. 🟨,
90+5', Yevdokymov A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).

Recent form of UCSA has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Metalist has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

UCSA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, UCSA won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, UCSA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
24.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - UCSA	4:1 ✺
20.10.25	UCSA - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
13.10.25	Chernihiv - UCSA	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	UCSA - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - UCSA	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalist Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalist Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.05.25	UCSA - Metalist Kharkiv	3:3
18.04.25	Metalist Kharkiv - UCSA	0:2

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