Match Info

Persha Liga - Promotion Group - Round 8

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: OSC Metalist (Kharkiv)


	Metalist Kharkiv		Poltava

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.4	2.5
	4	2.7	2.1
	4.76	2.22	2.25
	2.84	3.23	2.35	Watch
	4.87	2.21	2.26
	4	2.7	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (2.88)	2.58 ↓ (3.02)	2.26 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
23.4%

Draw
35.8%

Poltava
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

30%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

29.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalist Kharkiv's form might have worsened.

Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metalist Kharkiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Metalist Kharkiv - Poltava Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Pletnyov P. (G) 29. Abramov Y. 10. Bagachanskyi M. (C) 8. Digtyar K. 42. Fedoriv V. 99. Gabriel Gomes 13. Goryainov O. 27. Isaenko Y. 24. Lutsiv P. 5. Pidruchnyi D. 6. Teplyakov D.	13. Voskonyan V. (G) 15. Danylenko V. (C) 7. Galenkov D. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 14. Marusych M. 20. Misyura Y. 8. Odaryuk V. 39. Opanasenko Y. 44. Plakhtyr D. 12. Savenkov A. 9. Shcherbak D.
Substitutes
77. Chidomere A. 34. Lemba I. 2. Mizyuk O. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 38. Palyanychka K. 31. Porokh B. 25. Rybak V. (G) 32. Shakhmayev M. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 40. Shevchenko M. 41. Smatko A. (G)	19. Buzhyn M. 3. Khodulya I. 5. Pidlepych V. 24. Shapovalov S. 21. Shmygelskyi B. 10. Streltsov Y. 27. Tymenko V. 31. Vasetskyi B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Plakhtyr D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Goryainov O. ↓, Chidomere A. ↑,
46', Savenkov A. ↓, Buzhyn M. ↑,
60', Abramov Y. ↓, Orikhovskyi M. ↑,
77', Bagachanskyi M. ↓, Lemba I. ↑,
81', Odaryuk V. ↓, Shmygelskyi B. ↑,
81', Plakhtyr D. ↓, Streltsov Y. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Streltsov Y. ⚽,
85', Streltsov Y. 🟨,
85', Pidruchnyi D. ↓, Palyanychka K. ↑,
85', Isaenko Y. ↓, Sherstyuk Y. ↑,
90+2', Marusych M. ↓, Shapovalov S. ↑,

Preview

Metalist has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Poltava is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Metalist won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.05.25	UCSA - Metalist Kharkiv	3:3 ✺
11.05.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Kudrivka	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Kharkiv - Metalist Kharkiv	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Metalist Kharkiv - UCSA	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTLL
- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.05.25	Poltava - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Poltava	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Poltava - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Poltava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.04.25	Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0

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