Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 13

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Rodina Moscow 3		Zenit Penza

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.64	4.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	3.64 ↑ (3.6)	4.63 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow 3
55.4%

Draw
25%

Zenit Penza
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25.2%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

23.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow 3 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina Moscow 3 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+4%)

Rodina Moscow 3 - Zenit Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Omarov M. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Vezikov A. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, Kamyshenko A. ⚽,
30', 3 - 1, Kamyshenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (6 - 0)
55', 4 - 1, Manukyan V. ⚽,
64', 5 - 1, Khudoklinov V. ⚽,
67', 6 - 1, Kolobov E. (Penalty Awarded),
72', 7 - 1, Sharapov T. ⚽,
75', 8 - 1, Sharapov T. ⚽,
81', 9 - 1, Manukyan V. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14).

Rodina 3 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zenit Penza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zenit Penza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rodina 3 is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rodina 3 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rodina 3 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Rodina Moscow 3	26	12	4	10	50:41	9	40
12	Penza	26	7	4	15	25:48	-23	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
06.06.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Strogino Moskva	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Shumbrat Saransk	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Rodina Moscow 3	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Avangard Kursk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLL
- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
13.06.26	Zenit Penza - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:3 ✺
06.06.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Zenit Penza	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
15.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Zenit Penza	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
20.09.25	Zenit Penza - Rodina Moscow 3	2:0
31.05.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Zenit Penza	2:1

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