Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 10

Date: 1 November 2022, Tuesday


	Metropolitan Police		Hartley Wintney

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.7
	1.78	3.6	3.35
	1.76	3.8	3.55
	1.78	4.1	3.69
	1.75	3.6	3.75
	1.73	3.9	3.88
	1.78	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.81)	3.76 ↑ (3.64)	3.67 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitan Police
51.3%

Draw
24%

Hartley Wintney
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24.7%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

24.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitan Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Hartley Wintney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Metropolitan Police - Hartley Wintney Predictions

Users Predictions: Metropolitan Police will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metropolitan Police won 3.

Recent matches Metropolitan Police is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hartley Wintney is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Metropolitan Police could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Metropolitan Police will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Metropolitan Police won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitan Police won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
29.10.22	Merthyr Town - Metropolitan Police	1:2 ✺
25.10.22	Chesham United - Metropolitan Police	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Salisbury - Metropolitan Police	1:4 ✺
18.10.22	Metropolitan Police - Poole Town	1:3 ✺
11.10.22	Metropolitan Police - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLW
- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
25.10.22	Hartley Wintney - Hendon	2:3 ✺
22.10.22	Hartley Wintney - Yate Town	3:0 ✺
18.10.22	Hartley Wintney - North Leigh	0:0 ✺
15.10.22	Poole Town - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	Winchester City - Hartley Wintney	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
01.03.22	Metropolitan Police - Hartley Wintney	3:2
14.12.21	Hartley Wintney - Metropolitan Police	1:0
24.08.19	Metropolitan Police - Hartley Wintney	0:1
26.01.19	Metropolitan Police - Hartley Wintney	5:1
20.11.18	Hartley Wintney - Metropolitan Police	1:4

Metropolitan Police - Hartley Wintney: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide