Match Info

Date: 5 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Soto R. (Ven)


	Metropolitanos		Deportivo Lara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.87	3.3	Watch
	2.05	2.85	3.45
	2.05	3.05	3.4
	2.09	2.69	3.27
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.19	3	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.85)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	3.42 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitanos
42.9%

Draw
30.7%

Deportivo Lara
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29.4%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

28.3%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metropolitanos's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metropolitanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Lara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	29.4%	35.3%

Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Metropolitanos will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metropolitanos: 12.6% – 58%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Libertadores ~ Play Offs) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Deportivo Lara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Metropolitanos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitanos won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
29.05.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Metropolitanos	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.05.22	Lanús - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.05.22	Metropolitanos - Aragua	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.22	Metropolitanos - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
14.05.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Metropolitanos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTTW
- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
26.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	Universidad Central - Deportivo Lara	0:0 ✺
12.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Zamora	0:2 ✺
05.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Hermanos Colmenares	0:1 ✺
28.04.22	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
29.09.19	Deportivo Lara - Metropolitanos	1:0
06.04.19	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara	0:0
28.10.18	Deportivo Lara - Metropolitanos	2:1
19.05.18	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara	0:2
06.08.17	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara	0:0
10.02.17	Deportivo Lara - Metropolitanos	2:0
20.09.15	Deportivo Lara - Metropolitanos	2:1

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