Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Moreno C. (Ven)


	Universidad Central		Deportivo Lara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.5	Watch
	2.75	2.65	2.6
	2.8	2.75	2.55
	2.74	2.68	2.68
	2.8	2.7	2.7
	2.82	2.89	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.87)	2.74 ↓ (2.9)	2.62 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Central
32.5%

Draw
33%

Deportivo Lara
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

31.2%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

31%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Deportivo Lara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Universidad Central - Deportivo Lara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Deportivo Lara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.05.22	Aragua - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	Universidad Central - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:2 ✺
01.05.22	Universidad Central - Mineros de Guayana	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Monagas - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
14.04.22	Zulia - Universidad Central	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLT
- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Zamora	0:2 ✺
05.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Hermanos Colmenares	0:1 ✺
28.04.22	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Deportivo Lara - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Lara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTLW

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