Match Info

Date: 26 May 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Futbol de Lara (Barquisimeto)


	Deportivo Lara		Carabobo

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.7	Watch
	2.4	2.6	3.15
	2.55	2.75	2.8
	2.6	2.39	2.82
	2.55	2.8	2.88
	2.56	3.08	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.46)	2.74 ↑ (2.65)	2.86 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Lara
35.6%

Draw
32.9%

Carabobo
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

34.2%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

37.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Lara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	36.4%	45.5%

Deportivo Lara - Carabobo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Carabobo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carabobo: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Libertadores ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 2.

Deportivo Lara is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Carabobo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 38-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Lara won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
21.05.22	Universidad Central - Deportivo Lara	0:0 ✺
12.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Zamora	0:2 ✺
05.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Hermanos Colmenares	0:1 ✺
28.04.22	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Deportivo Lara - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTL
- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.05.22	Carabobo - Deportivo La Guaira	2:0 ✺
14.05.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
06.05.22	Carabobo - Zulia	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Carabobo	2:3 ✺
21.04.22	Carabobo - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
19.09.21	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	2:1
30.07.21	Carabobo - Deportivo Lara	2:0
10.06.21	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	0:0
22.04.21	Carabobo - Deportivo Lara	1:1
09.12.20	Carabobo - Deportivo Lara	0:3
08.11.20	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	2:2
08.09.19	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	1:3

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