Match Info

Date: 12 May 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Futbol de Lara (Barquisimeto)


	Deportivo Lara		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	3	Watch
	2.4	2.63	3.1
	2.39	2.75	3.05
	2.54	2.42	3.28
	2.3	2.88	3.2
	2.59	2.77	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.85)	2.71 ↓ (2.71)	3.12 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Lara
37.4%

Draw
33.5%

Zamora
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

33.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

33.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Lara's performance.

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zamora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Lara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	60%	13.3%

Deportivo Lara - Zamora Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Zamora will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Deportivo Lara will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Lara won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Hermanos Colmenares	0:1 ✺
28.04.22	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Deportivo Lara - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Lara	2:3 ✺
08.04.22	Deportivo Lara - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTLWW
- Zamora FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.05.22	Zamora - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:0 ✺
28.04.22	Zulia - Zamora	0:2 ✺
22.04.22	Zamora - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
17.04.22	Deportivo Táchira - Zamora	1:1 ✺
07.04.22	Zamora - Aragua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
09.03.20	Zamora - Deportivo Lara	2:1
06.10.19	Zamora - Deportivo Lara	1:1
14.04.19	Deportivo Lara - Zamora	3:0
05.12.18	Zamora - Deportivo Lara	4:0
02.12.18	Deportivo Lara - Zamora	1:1
29.07.18	Deportivo Lara - Zamora	2:0
03.02.18	Zamora - Deportivo Lara	0:0

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