Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 14

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)


	Metropolitanos		Hermanos Colmenares

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.75	5.25
	1.5	3.4	5.5
	1.53	3.52	5.91
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.54	3.94	5.8	Watch
	1.55	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.73)	3.66 ↑ (3.37)	5.56 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitanos
59%

Draw
24.7%

Hermanos Colmenares
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

20.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metropolitanos's performance.

Hermanos Colmenares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metropolitanos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermanos Colmenares than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hermanos Colmenares could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Metropolitanos - Hermanos Colmenares Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Metropolitanos will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hermanos Colmenares will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metropolitanos: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Recent matches Metropolitanos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hermanos Colmenares is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Metropolitanos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Metropolitanos have a series of guest games.

In this match Metropolitanos is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitanos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
07.05.23	Monagas - Metropolitanos	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.05.23	Independiente Medellín - Metropolitanos	4:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.04.23	Metropolitanos - Mineros de Guayana	3:0 ✺
23.04.23	Angostura - Metropolitanos	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.04.23	Internacional RS - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLL
- CD Hermanos Colmenares
Venezuelan Primera Division
29.04.23	Rayo Zuliano - Hermanos Colmenares	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:2 ✺
14.04.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
31.03.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
09.07.22	Metropolitanos - Hermanos Colmenares	2:1
14.05.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Metropolitanos	1:2
30.11.21	Hermanos Colmenares - Metropolitanos	4:0
09.11.21	Metropolitanos - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0

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