Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday


	Metropolitanos		SD Aucas

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.7	Watch
	4	3.6	1.75
	4.35	3.6	1.68	Watch
	4.3	3.6	1.7
	4.98	3.9	1.69
	4.6	3.5	1.75	Watch
	4.3	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (3.52)	3.64 ↑ (3.3)	1.71 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitanos
20.4%

Draw
25.5%

SD Aucas
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

27%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

19.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SD Aucas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metropolitanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Metropolitanos - SD Aucas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Aucas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.05.21	Metropolitanos - Caracas	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.21	Athletico Paranaense - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
20.04.21	Metropolitanos - FBC Melgar	2:3 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.04.21	Atlético Venezuela - Metropolitanos	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.05.21	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.21	FBC Melgar - SD Aucas	2:0 ✺
20.04.21	SD Aucas - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.04.21	SD Aucas - Olmedo	1:3 ✺
12.04.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	Barcelona SC awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLL?

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