The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SD Aucas 25.6%
Draw 27.1%
Athletico Paranaense 47.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
28.1%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
20.3%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SD Aucas's form might have worsened.
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletico Paranaense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Aucas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-18.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
3.6%
4.2%
92.1%
SD Aucas - Athletico Paranaense Predictions
Users Predictions:
165 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 6 - 3.6%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 152 - 92.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 4.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 88% – 96.2%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Recent matches Aucas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Athletico PR is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Athletico PR could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Athletico PR will have a mini benefit in this match.
Watch
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