Match Info

Date: 28 April 2021, Wednesday


	FBC Melgar		SD Aucas

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.35
	2.65	3.15	2.48	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.32
	2.85	3.57	2.42
	2.75	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.67	3.46	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.76)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	2.42 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
33.8%

Draw
27.9%

SD Aucas
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.4%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

19.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

FBC Melgar - SD Aucas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Aucas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
24.04.21	FBC Melgar - Universidad San Martín	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.21	Metropolitanos - FBC Melgar	2:3 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
15.04.21	Cajamarca - FBC Melgar	3:1 ✺
12.04.21	FBC Melgar - Ayacucho	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.21	FBC Melgar - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLTW
- SD Aucas
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.21	SD Aucas - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.04.21	SD Aucas - Olmedo	1:3 ✺
12.04.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	Barcelona SC awarded ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.21	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	0:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.04.21	9 de Octubre - SD Aucas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LL?WW

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