Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 25

Date: 26 March 2024, Tuesday


	Mexicali		Gavilanes de Matamoros

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.75
	4.33	3.5	1.72
	4.08	3.63	1.8
	4.08	3.63	1.75
	4	3.5	1.73
	4.31	3.68	1.69	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (4.08)	3.56 ↓ (4)	1.74 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexicali
22%

Draw
25.6%

Gavilanes de Matamoros
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

22.6%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

22%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexicali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Gavilanes de Matamoros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mexicali than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Gonzalez O. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Mexicali is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gavilanes de Matamoros is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gavilanes de Matamoros will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mexicali won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexicali FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
23.03.24	Mexicali - Tritones Vallarta	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Mexicali - Tecos FC	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Mexicali	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Mexicali - Real Apodaca	0:4 ✺
23.02.24	Chihuahua - Mexicali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWTLL
- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
24.03.24	Saltillo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros	4:1 ✺
06.03.24	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Los Cabos United	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.09.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Mexicali	5:1

Mexicali - Gavilanes de Matamoros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide