Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday


	Mickleover Sports		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	1.83
	3.5	3.55	1.87
	3.47	4.02	1.82
	3.6	3.97	1.87
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.61	3.55	1.85
	3.5	3.55	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.16)	3.63 ↑ (3.43)	1.85 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mickleover Sports
25.8%

Draw
25%

Gainsborough Trinity
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.5%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mickleover Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mickleover Sports's form might have worsened.

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gainsborough Trinity's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mickleover Sports, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gainsborough Trinity, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mickleover Sports - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, Dales A. ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Lancaster W. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Howe D. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mickleover won 1.

Mickleover is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gainsborough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mickleover could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mickleover won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Mickleover won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mickleover Sports
English NPL Premier Division
30.11.24	United of Manchester - Mickleover Sports	2:1 ✺
26.11.24	Mickleover Sports - Macclesfield Town	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Mickleover Sports - Workington	1:3 ✺
16.11.24	Whitby Town - Mickleover Sports	4:1 ✺
09.11.24	Mickleover Sports - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLL
- Gainsborough Trinity
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Rushall Olympic	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
29.11.24	Harrogate Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Chester	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
09.11.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	3:0 ✺
05.11.24	Whitby Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.04.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Mickleover Sports	2:0
17.08.21	Mickleover Sports - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0
28.09.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Mickleover Sports	2:2
19.01.19	Mickleover Sports - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1
21.08.18	Gainsborough Trinity - Mickleover Sports	2:0

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