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Current Win Probability
Whitby Town 24.9%
Draw 25%
Gainsborough Trinity 50.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.7%
26.6%
49.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
25.2%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Whitby Town - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Preston F. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Simpson A. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 3, Brown C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
64', 1 - 3, Parker L. ⚽,
69', 1 - 4, Clarke J. ⚽,
80', 1 - 5, Beeden H. ⚽,
84', 1 - 6, Beeden H. ⚽,
88', 2 - 6, (Own goal),
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 0.
In recent outings, Whitby has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Gainsborough is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Gainsborough may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Gainsborough holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Whitby has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:32 (averaging 0.6:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Whitby against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 5:15 goals (averaging 0.7:2.1 per game).
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