Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Finland	Viaplay
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United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, BBC Two
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Harrogate Town		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	9.5
	1.37	5	8.25
	1.36	4.75	8	Watch
	1.36	5.21	7.63
	1.36	4.88	7.85	Watch
	1.35	5	9
	1.34	5.1	9.1	Watch
	1.36	4.75	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)	4.9 ↑ (4.63)	8.42 ↑ (6.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
69.5%

Draw
19.3%

Gainsborough Trinity
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

20.4%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

20.1%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harrogate Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Harrogate Town - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Gainsborough will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (C) 14. Sims T. 15. O'Connor A. 5. Moon J. 2. Asare Z. 9. Duke-McKenna S. 22. Dooley S. 8. Cornelius D. 11. Daly J. 24. March J. 18. Muldoon J.	1. Wharton D. (G) 19. Tuntulwana S. 5. Lancaster W. 6. Cogill D. (C) 3. Jackson A. 11. Preston F. 12. Johnson B. 8. Helliwell J. 14. Stacey J. 9. Clarke J. 10. Howe D.
Substitutes
32. Bray J. 6. Burrell W. 35. Etherington M. 4. Falkingham J. 12. Folarin S. 3. Foulds M. 36. McClarin J. 27. Nto E. 1. Oxley M. (G)	7. Butroid L. 4. Conway B. 18. Cooper P. 20. Devine D. 16. Hornshaw G. 13. Johnson K. (G) 15. Mcloughlin J. 2. Simpson A. 17. Simpson K.
Coaches
Weaver S.	Wilcox R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Cogill D. 🟨,
52', Sims T. 🟨,
54', Dooley S. ↓, Falkingham J. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Cornelius D. ⚽, Daly J. (A),
63', Lancaster W. 🟨,
72', Stacey J. ↓, Butroid L. ↑,
76', March J. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
81', Falkingham J. 🟨,
82', Tuntulwana S. ↓, Simpson A. ↑,
86', Muldoon J. ↓, Burrell W. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 3.

Recent matches Harrogate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gainsborough in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gainsborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Harrogate have a series of home games.

In this match Harrogate is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:16 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
23.11.24	Gillingham - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	Harrogate Town - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Harrogate Town - Blackpool	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
09.11.24	Harrogate Town - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 WWLLW
- Gainsborough Trinity
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Chester	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
09.11.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	3:0 ✺
05.11.24	Whitby Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Hednesford Town - Gainsborough Trinity	4:5 penalties ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Clitheroe - Gainsborough Trinity	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
24.03.18	Harrogate Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0
English FA Cup
14.10.17	Harrogate Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2
English National League North
19.08.17	Gainsborough Trinity - Harrogate Town	4:5
28.01.17	Harrogate Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:3
16.08.16	Gainsborough Trinity - Harrogate Town	0:2
05.12.15	Gainsborough Trinity - Harrogate Town	2:1
11.08.15	Harrogate Town - Gainsborough Trinity	3:1

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