Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Chester

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.1
	3.2	3.3	2.17
	3.06	3.29	2.2
	3.14	3.32	2.25	Watch
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.11	3.24	2.21
	3.2	3.3	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.42)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
29.7%

Draw
28.1%

Chester
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.3%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.1%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Chester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', Bainbridge J. 🟥,
88', 1 - 0, Howe D. ⚽,

Preview

Gainsborough in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Chester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Gainsborough have a series of guest games.

Chester will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Gainsborough won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
09.11.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	3:0 ✺
05.11.24	Whitby Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Hednesford Town - Gainsborough Trinity	4:5 penalties ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Clitheroe - Gainsborough Trinity	1:4 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.24	Boston United - Gainsborough Trinity	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WWWWW
- Chester City
English National League North
09.11.24	Needham Market - Chester	0:1 ✺
05.11.24	Darlington - Chester	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Chester - Hereford	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Curzon Ashton - Chester	4:0 ✺
22.10.24	Chester - Buxton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.04.13	Gainsborough Trinity - Chester	0:2
27.02.13	Chester - Gainsborough Trinity	3:1
English FA Cup
02.10.12	Chester - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1 OT
22.09.12	Gainsborough Trinity - Chester	1:1

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