Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pensativo (Antigua Guatemala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports


	Antigua GFC		Xelajú

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	5.15
	1.62	3.55	5.77
	1.59	3.87	5.51	Watch
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.69	3.77	4.71
	1.62	3.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.56)	3.6 ↓ (3.96)	5.33 ↓ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antigua GFC
57.2%

Draw
25.5%

Xelajú
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

23.5%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.1%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Antigua GFC - Xelajú Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Antigua (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Antigua (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moran L. (G) 9. Apaolaza F. 12. Ardon J. (C) 26. Fernandez D. 28. Fernandez E. 8. Garzaro S. 22. Osorio J. 33. Prillwitz H. 5. Rosales J. 54. Sagastume S. 18. Santis O.	1. Silva D. (G) 52. Aparicio J. 11. Cardenas S. 28. de Oliveira C. 7. Diaz Y. 14. Gonzalez J. 77. Longo J. 10. Lopez A. 12. Quiros D. 4. Romero M. 25. Ruiz K.
Substitutes
24. Avila Jr M. 13. Bradley D. 4. Carbonell J. 7. Castaneda B. . Chavez G. 99. Macareno K. 60. Ruiz J. 25. Santis D. 70. Sican E. (G)	16. Cardona J. . de Leon M. . Escobar J. . Jaen Y. 22. Lobos N. (G) 17. Ochaeta D. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. 6. Quinonez O. 13. Tebalan W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Apaolaza F. 🟨,
16', 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Ruiz K. ⚽,
34', Fernandez E. ↓, Santis D. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 1, Osorio J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Aparicio J. 🟨,
54', Rosales J. 🟨,
58', Diaz Y. 🟨,
59', Santis O. 🟨,
61', Sagastume S. ↓, Bradley D. ↑,
61', Garzaro S. ↓, Castaneda B. ↑,
62', de Oliveira C. 🟨,
64', de Oliveira C. 🟥,
70', Cardenas S. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
70', Diaz Y. ↓, Tebalan W. ↑,
71', Osorio J. 🟨,
76', Rosales J. ↓, Avila Jr M. ↑,
77', Fernandez D. ↓, Macareno K. ↑,
82', Lopez A. ↓, Ochaeta D. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Antigua is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Antigua won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Antigua	11	7	0	4	21:17	4	21
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
21.01.26	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	5:1 ✺
27.12.25	Municipal - Antigua GFC	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Antigua GFC - Municipal	2:0 ✺
17.12.25	Antigua GFC - Aurora	4:2 ✺
14.12.25	Aurora - Antigua GFC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWW
- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
20.01.26	Xelajú - Aurora	4:0 ✺
11.12.25	Antigua GFC - Xelajú	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
03.12.25	Xelajú - Alajuelense	1:2 penalties ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
30.11.25	Comunicaciones - Xelajú	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.12.25	Antigua GFC - Xelajú	2:0
08.12.25	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	1:0
05.10.25	Antigua GFC - Xelajú	2:1
25.07.25	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	0:2
08.03.25	Antigua GFC - Xelajú	1:0
23.01.25	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	5:1
08.12.24	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	1:0 ET

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