Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: MCH Arena (Herning)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Midtjylland		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.00	3.70	3.50
	2.12	3.7	3.25	Watch
	2.11	3.85	3.26
	1.9	3.79	3.65	Watch
	2.04	3.8	3.05
	2.11	3.53	3.39	Watch
	2.09	3.5	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.99)	3.66 ↑ (3.4)	3.29 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
45.7%

Draw
25.7%

Beşiktaş
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.4%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61%	19.5%	19.5%

Midtjylland - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 25 - 62.5%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 8 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 47.5% – 77.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.27) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olafsson E. (G) 5. Kristensen R. (C) 6. Erlic M. 22. Sorensen M. B. 11. Osorio D. 8. Billing P. 19. Bravo P. 20. Byskov V. 21. Castillo D. 7. Franculino 10. Cho Gue-Sung	1. Nubel A. (G) 62. Murillo M. 35. Djalo T. 53. Topcu E. 33. Yilmaz R. 6. Ozcan S. 18. Cerny V. 15. Olaitan J. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 29. Fakili I. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Substitutes
25. Bakker N. (G) 15. Beni D. 14. Chilufya E. 38. Emefile J. 13. Gabriel A. 18. Iheanacho S. 27. Johannesen S. 3. Lee Han-Beom 34. Ndiaye A. 31. Selin L. (G) 17. Uhre M. 29. Watjen K.	12. Agbadou E. 80. Alemdar D. (G) 70. Bircan A. S. 22. Bulut T. 65. Gursel C. 5. Hadziahmetovic A. 23. Hekimoglu M. 8. Kayra Yilmaz K. 90. Kilicsoy S. 11. Ouattara K. 58. Ozcan Y. 7. Rashica M.
Coaches
Tullberg M.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Sorensen M. B. 🟨,
44', Erlic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Erlic M. 🟨,
56', Cerny V. 🟨,
57', Byskov V. ↓, Emefile J. ↑,
57', Billing P. ↓, Watjen K. ↑,
57', Franculino ↓, Lee Han-Beom ↑,
69', Cerny V. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
69', Castillo D. ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Rashica M. ⚽, Olaitan J. (A),
75', Kristensen R. 🟨,
76', 0 - 2, Kokcu O. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Osorio D. ↓, Johannesen S. ↑,
79', Olaitan J. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
81', Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🟨,
81', Italiano V. 🟨,
85', Fakili I. ↓, Ozcan Y. ↑,
85', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
85', Murillo M. ↓, Bulut T. ↑,
86', Ozcan Y. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Midtjylland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Beşiktaş has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Beşiktaş may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Midtjylland could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Midtjylland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Besiktas: 4.09%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
26.07.26	SønderjyskE - Midtjylland	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	Beşiktaş - Midtjylland	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Midtjylland - OB Odense	4:1 ✺
11.07.26	Cardiff City - Midtjylland	0:6 ✺
04.07.26	Midtjylland - Silkeborg IF	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	Beşiktaş - Midtjylland	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Spartak Trnava - Beşiktaş	3:2 ✺
14.07.26	Dynamo Malženice - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Mosonmagyaróvár - Beşiktaş	0:0 ✺
02.07.26	Beşiktaş - Gyirmót	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	Beşiktaş - Midtjylland	1:0

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