Match Info

Superliga - Championship Group - Round 25

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: MCH Arena (Herning)

Referee: Maae J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 8
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Midtjylland		SønderjyskE

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.65	6.8	Watch
	1.45	5	6.7
	1.48	4.82	5.91	Watch
	1.44	4.4	6
	1.44	4.76	6.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.46)	4.73 ↑ (4.58)	6.46 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
65.4%

Draw
20%

SønderjyskE
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

20.3%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.5%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

SønderjyskE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Midtjylland - SønderjyskE Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 5 - 50%). SønderjyskE will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Olafsson E. (G) 4. Diao O. 6. Erlic M. 22. Bech Sorensen M. (C) 11. Osorio D. 19. Bravo P. 20. Byskov V. 55. Bak V. 38. Emefile J. 10. Cho Gue-Sung 58. Simsir A.	16. Bundgaard M. (G) 3. Waever S. 12. Soulas M. 5. Jensen M. 19. Kristensen P. 26. Sommer T. (C) 22. Oggesen A. 15. Qamili L. 31. Cherif M. 11. Lyng A. 9. Hoppe M.
Substitutes
7. Franculino 13. Gabriel A. 41. Gogorza M. 39. Junior Ze 35. Konteh B. 3. Lee Han-Beom 1. Lossl J. (G) 29. Paulinho 17. Uhre M.	23. Duru G. 7. Emini S. 1. Flo N. (G) 24. Hyseni O. 20. Klysner T. 28. Pedersen A. 29. Rrahmani A. 6. Vinderslev R. 13. Wilkins D.
Coaches
Tullberg M.	Norgaard T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Simsir A. ⚽, Cho Gue-Sung (A),
25', Lyng A. 🟨,
40', Byskov V. ↓, Lee Han-Beom ↑,
44', Cho Gue-Sung 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Oggesen A. ↓, Vinderslev R. ↑,
46', Lyng A. ↓, Hyseni O. ↑,
48', Kristensen P. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Osorio D. ⚽, Simsir A. (A),
62', Waever S. ↓, Klysner T. ↑,
67', Qamili L. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Diao O. 🟨,
72', Simsir A. ↓, Franculino ↑,
72', Emefile J. ↓, Gogorza M. ↑,
72', Kristensen P. ↓, Wilkins D. ↑,
77', Osorio D. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
81', Hoppe M. ↓, Emini S. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Cherif M. ⚽, Klysner T. (A),
89', 2 - 2, Hyseni O. ⚽, Emini S. (A),
90+5', Wilkins D. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Midtjylland is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Midtjylland: Billing P. (Injury) Djabi A. (Injury) Franculino (Knee Injury) Mbabu K. (Injury) Simsir A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in SønderjyskE: Sigurgeirsson R. (Injury)

There are questionable in SønderjyskE: Gretarsson D. L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 41:32. (average 2.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Midtjylland won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 2.6:1.3).

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Midtjylland: 30.22% Sonderjyske: 0.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Midtjylland	9	5	4	0	17:9	8	19
12	Sonderjyske	9	1	2	6	12:21	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
22.03.26	Viborg - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Midtjylland - Nottingham Forest	1:3 penalties ✺
Danish Superliga
15.03.26	Midtjylland - Nordsjælland	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland	0:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
08.03.26	Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLLWT
- SønderjyskE
Danish Superliga
22.03.26	Nordsjælland - SønderjyskE	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	SønderjyskE - OB Odense	1:0 ✺
23.02.26	Brøndby - SønderjyskE	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	SønderjyskE - Silkeborg IF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.01.26	SønderjyskE - Midtjylland	3:6
Danish Superliga
23.11.25	SønderjyskE - Midtjylland	2:1
28.07.25	Midtjylland - SønderjyskE	6:2
20.10.24	SønderjyskE - Midtjylland	3:2
24.08.24	Midtjylland - SønderjyskE	3:2
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Midtjylland - SønderjyskE	2:2
Danish Superliga
24.10.21	Midtjylland - SønderjyskE	3:2

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