Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Wajda T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Miedź Legnica		Korona Kielce

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2	3.4	3.6
	2.1	3.15	3.65
	2.03	3.4	3.55
	2.08	3.45	3.89
	2	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.07	3.35	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.06)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	3.61 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
45.9%

Draw
28.1%

Korona Kielce
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	37.5%	33.3%

Miedź Legnica - Korona Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Korona will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 18.1% – 56.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Miedź won 0.

Miedź is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Korona is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Miedź will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Miedź won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Miedź won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.09.22	Piast Gliwice - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
31.08.22	Resovia Rzeszów - Miedź Legnica	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.08.22	Miedź Legnica - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
19.08.22	Jagiellonia Białystok - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
12.08.22	Miedź Legnica - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.09.22	Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
30.08.22	Stal Rzeszów - Korona Kielce	3:4 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.08.22	Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Wisła Płock - Korona Kielce	2:1 ✺
15.08.22	Korona Kielce - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
18.03.22	Miedź Legnica - Korona Kielce	1:1
03.09.21	Korona Kielce - Miedź Legnica	0:0
26.03.21	Korona Kielce - Miedź Legnica	0:0
26.09.20	Miedź Legnica - Korona Kielce	1:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.05.19	Korona Kielce - Miedź Legnica	0:0
22.12.18	Korona Kielce - Miedź Legnica	0:0
17.08.18	Miedź Legnica - Korona Kielce	1:1

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