Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 34

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Szypula P. (Pol)


	Miedź Legnica		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.7	3.4	2.35
	2.8	3.3	2.45
	2.85	3.35	2.46
	2.85	3.23	2.47
	2.62	3.3	2.38
	2.76	3.25	2.41
	2.68	3.1	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.68)	3.25 ↑ (3.05)	2.41 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
33.5%

Draw
28.3%

Lechia Gdańsk
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28.8%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.4%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Miedź Legnica - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Lechia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Madrzyk J. (G) 17. Kostka M. 25. Mijuskovic N. (C) 6. Niewulis A. 23. Carolina J. 22. Kaczmarski I. 66. Salvador I. 8. Aguado T. 10. Drzazga K. 37. Bogacz W. 98. Antonik K.	83. Mikulko A. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 72. Koperski F. 94. Gueho L. 23. Kalahur M. (C) 6. Bieganski J. 16. D'Arrigo L. 79. Sezonienko K. 99. Neugebauer T. 21. Sypek J. 89. Bobcek T.
Substitutes
31. Abramowicz M. (G) 18. Agbor E. 87. Hoogenhout R. 30. Jozefiak K. 59. Lehaire M. 95. Mansfeld M. 7. Pierzak P.	26. Brzek B. 8. Kapic R. 42. Kardas A. 30. Khlan M. 7. Mena C. 3. Olsson E. 11. Pila D. 29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 9. Zjawinski L.
Coaches
Mamrot I.	Grabowski S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Sypek J. ⚽, Bobcek T. (A),
19', Gueho L. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Drzazga K. ⚽, Salvador I. (A),
36', Bieganski J. 🟨,
43', Aguado T. ↓, Lehaire M. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Neugebauer T. ↓, Kapic R. ↑,
47', Lehaire M. 🟨,
53', D'Arrigo L. 🟨,
53', Kostka M. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Mijuskovic N. (Pen),
60', 3 - 1, Bogacz W. ⚽, Salvador I. (A),
63', Bobcek T. ↓, Zjawinski L. ↑,
63', D'Arrigo L. ↓, Kardas A. ↑,
64', 4 - 1, Bogacz W. ⚽, Drzazga K. (A),
68', Bogacz W. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
68', Antonik K. ↓, Hoogenhout R. ↑,
73', Sypek J. ↓, Brzek B. ↑,
76', Drzazga K. 🟨,
76', Sezonienko K. 🟨,
81', Bieganski J. ↓, Pila D. ↑,
82', Drzazga K. ↓, Agbor E. ↑,
82', Kaczmarski I. ↓, Pierzak P. ↑,
88', Hoogenhout R. 🟨,
90+3', Niewulis A. 🟨,
90+3', Madrzyk J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Lechia is Qualified for Ekstraklasa

Recent matches Miedź is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lechia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Miedź could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Miedź won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Miedź won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
18.05.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
13.05.24	Miedź Legnica - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	6:1 ✺
04.05.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Wisła Płock - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTLL
- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Division 1
19.05.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Wisła Kraków - Lechia Gdańsk	3:4 ✺
04.05.24	Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Tychy	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Stal Rzeszów - Lechia Gdańsk	4:2 ✺
24.04.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Polonia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
03.12.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Miedź Legnica	2:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.03.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Miedź Legnica	4:0
27.08.22	Miedź Legnica - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1
17.12.18	Miedź Legnica - Lechia Gdańsk	0:0
10.08.18	Lechia Gdańsk - Miedź Legnica	2:0

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