Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)


	Miedź Legnica		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.2
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.47	3.39
	2.14	3.47	3.39
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.13	3.23	3.32
	2.11	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.01)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	3.21 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
43.3%

Draw
27.8%

Motor Lublin
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

28.3%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Miedź Legnica - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Madrzyk J. (G) 87. Hoogenhout R. 25. Mijuskovic N. (C) 6. Niewulis A. 23. Carolina J. 8. Aguado T. 22. Kaczmarski I. 17. Kostka M. 66. Salvador I. 98. Antonik K. 37. Bogacz W.	1. Rosa K. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 18. Najemski A. 24. Luberecki F. 21. Rudol S. 19. Welniak K. 55. Gasior M. 68. Wolski B. 26. Krol M. 90. Mraz S. 77. Ceglarz P. (C)
Substitutes
31. Abramowicz M. (G) 10. Drzazga K. 19. Guzdek B. 30. Jozefiak K. 59. Lehaire M. 3. Leonczyk J. 95. Mansfeld M. 7. Pierzak P. 24. Zalewski S.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 73. Lis J. 47. Palacz K. 7. Rybicki M. 37. Scalet M. 4. Szarek P. 17. Wojcik F. 22. Wojtkowski K. 9. Zebrakowski M.
Coaches
Mamrot I.	Stolarski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Rudol S. 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Hoogenhout R. ⚽,
44', Gasior M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Bogacz W. ↓, Drzazga K. ↑,
57', Rudol S. ↓, Szarek P. ↑,
57', Welniak K. ↓, Wojtkowski K. ↑,
65', Najemski A. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Mijuskovic N. (Pen),
69', Mraz S. ↓, Zebrakowski M. ↑,
69', Najemski A. ↓, Rybicki M. ↑,
76', Antonik K. ↓, Zalewski S. ↑,
76', Salvador I. ↓, Lehaire M. ↑,
77', Niewulis A. 🟨,
78', Kaczmarski I. 🟨,
83', Krol M. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
89', Luberecki F. 🟥,
89', Kaczmarski I. ↓, Pierzak P. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Miedź is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Motor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Miedź could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Miedź will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Miedź won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
13.04.24	Chrobry Głogów - Miedź Legnica	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Odra Opole - Miedź Legnica	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Miedź Legnica - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	Wisła Kraków - Miedź Legnica	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Miedź Legnica - GKS Tychy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTLLT
- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
12.04.24	Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Wisła Kraków - Motor Lublin	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Motor Lublin - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Stal Rzeszów - Motor Lublin	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
08.10.23	Motor Lublin - Miedź Legnica	1:3

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