Match Info

Division 1 - Round 11

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Miedź Legnica		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4.33
	1.68	3.9	4.45
	1.7	3.97	4.59
	1.99	3.51	3.56	Watch
	1.69	3.85	4.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.66)	3.81 ↓ (4.06)	4.26 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
53.4%

Draw
24.6%

Znicz Pruszków
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

23%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.3%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miedź (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Miedź Legnica will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wrabel J. (G) 59. Stepinski P. 3. Grudzinski M. 2. Koscielny K. 7. Bochnak M. 14. Drygas K. (C) 8. Serafin J. 49. Szymoniak O. 98. Antonik K. 18. Cordoba A. 95. Mansfeld M.	12. Misztal P. (C) 5. Jach J. 14. Okhronchuk V. 11. Moskwik P. 99. Koprowski O. 20. Borecki M. 10. Ciepiela B. 80. Plewka P. 7. Sokol D. 9. Majewski R. 29. Bak D.
Substitutes
25. Czyborra L. 9. Engvall G. 11. Kuchko G. 99. Kwiecien B. 10. Mioc B. 80. Petrovic Z. 6. Podgorski J. 21. Stanclik D. 1. Sydorenko D. (G)	17. Kazimierczak A. 25. Konieczny D. 21. Mak M. 53. Nadolski A. 1. Napieraj K. (G) 6. Pawlik M. 8. Proczek T. 77. Skladowski F. 22. Tabara K.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Struhar P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Drygas K. 🟨,
36', Okhronchuk V. 🟨,
38', Wrabel J. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Majewski R. (Pen),
45', 1 - 1, Szymoniak O. ⚽, Cordoba A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Mansfeld M. ⚽, Grudzinski M. (A),
55', Jach J. 🟨,
67', Szymoniak O. ↓, Kuchko G. ↑,
67', Mansfeld M. ↓, Stanclik D. ↑,
67', Antonik K. ↓, Engvall G. ↑,
68', Moskwik P. ↓, Konieczny D. ↑,
68', Borecki M. ↓, Proczek T. ↑,
69', Engvall G. 🟨,
74', Drygas K. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
78', Ciepiela B. ↓, Mak M. ↑,
82', Cordoba A. 🟨,
87', Cordoba A. ↓, Podgorski J. ↑,
88', Koprowski O. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 2.

Miedź is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Znicz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Miedź may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Miedź is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Miedź won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
20.09.25	Polonia Bytom - Miedź Legnica	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Kraków	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Stal Rzeszów - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLTWW
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Małapanew Ozimek - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.25	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Tychy	4:0 ✺
13.09.25	Stal Rzeszów - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Odra Opole - Znicz Pruszków	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
08.03.25	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	2:1
22.08.24	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	4:0
28.04.24	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	1:2
30.10.23	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	1:1
21.04.17	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	2:0
24.09.16	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	0:0

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