Match Info

Division 1 - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Miedź Legnica		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.8
	2.28	3.45	2.82
	2.29	3.6	2.86
	2.54	3.38	2.64	Watch
	2.25	3.44	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.15)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	2.82 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
40.3%

Draw
26.7%

Polonia Warsaw
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4%)

Miedź Legnica - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wrabel J. (G) 98. Antonik K. 7. Bochnak M. 14. Drygas K. (C) 3. Grudzinski M. 2. Koscielny K. 27. Letniowski J. 10. Mioc B. 21. Stanclik D. 59. Stepinski P. 49. Szymoniak O.	96. Kuchta M. (G) 17. Dadok R. 99. Durmus I. 2. Grudniewski M. 5. Hoxhallari E. 97. Janasik P. 16. Poczobut B. 3. Salihu H. 23. Skrabb S. 8. Wojciechowski O. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
18. Cordoba A. 15. Jovicic M. 99. Kwiecien B. 17. Maliszewski I. 95. Mansfeld M. 80. Petrovic Z. 6. Podgorski J. 8. Serafin J. 1. Sydorenko D. (G)	10. Bajdur M. 20. Brasido D. . Buksa A. 26. Gnaase D. 21. Kapusta A. 44. Piotrowski B. 1. Sandach A. (G) 4. Szur P. 7. Vega D.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Pawlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Letniowski J. ↓, Serafin J. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
43', Antonik K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
51', Szymoniak O. 🟨,
52', Antonik K. 🟨,
55', Janasik P. 🟨,
59', Drygas K. 🟨,
65', Drygas K. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
65', Mioc B. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
66', Dadok R. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
76', Petrovic Z. 🟨,
79', Janasik P. ↓, Brasido D. ↑,
79', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Piotrowski B. ↑,
85', Szymoniak O. ↓, Kwiecien B. ↑,
85', Stanclik D. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
88', Zjawinski L. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
88', Skrabb S. ↓, Gnaase D. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Cordoba A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

Miedź is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Polonia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Miedź won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
29.08.25	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Kraków	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Stal Rzeszów - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Miedź Legnica - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Chrobry Głogów - Miedź Legnica	2:2 ✺
08.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Miedź Legnica	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWTL
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
30.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
19.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Wieczysta Kraków	1:6 ✺
15.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Warsaw	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
02.03.25	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Warsaw	2:3
17.08.24	Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	0:1
23.02.24	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Warsaw	2:1
14.08.23	Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	3:4

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