Match Info

Division 1 - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion im. Edwarda Szymkowiaka (Bytom)

Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Polonia Bytom		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.18	3.4	3
	2.17	3.57	3.22
	1.00	16.16	30.00	Watch
	2.16	3.4	3.08
	2.18	3.44	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.2)	5.56 ↑ (3.3)	7.61 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
62%

Draw
22%

Miedź Legnica
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polonia Bytom's performance.

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miedź Legnica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polonia Bytom that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miedź Legnica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Polonia Bytom - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Polonia Bytom will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Miedź will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Miedź (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miedź (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Holewinski A. (G) 77. Szymanski J. 13. Azatsky O. 5. Matic M. 27. Apolinarski J. 8. Labojko M. 4. Bakala M. 10. Michalski K. 11. Andrzejczak K. 23. Arak J. 15. Kwiatkowski O.	44. Wrabel J. (G) 59. Stepinski P. 3. Grudzinski M. 2. Koscielny K. 7. Bochnak M. 14. Drygas K. (C) 8. Serafin J. 49. Szymoniak O. 10. Mioc B. 18. Cordoba A. 21. Stanclik D.
Substitutes
22. Calavera J. 30. Krzyzak O. 35. Mazur K. (G) 19. Sarmiento J. 14. Szymusik G. 29. Terlecki K. 74. Tsirigotis T. 9. Wojtyra K. 7. Zielinski L.	9. Engvall G. 63. Hajda W. 15. Jovicic M. 99. Kwiecien B. 17. Maliszewski I. 95. Mansfeld M. 80. Petrovic Z. 6. Podgorski J. 1. Sydorenko D. (G)
Coaches
Tomczyk L.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', Stepinski P. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Arak J. ⚽, Michalski K. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Koscielny K. (Own goal),
34', 3 - 0, Kwiatkowski O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Grudzinski M. 🟨,
58', Arak J. ↓, Wojtyra K. ↑,
58', Apolinarski J. ↓, Zielinski L. ↑,
61', Mioc B. ↓, Engvall G. ↑,
61', Drygas K. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
69', Bakala M. ↓, Terlecki K. ↑,
69', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
71', Szymanski J. 🟨,
73', Bochnak M. ↓, Podgorski J. ↑,
73', Stepinski P. ↓, Kwiecien B. ↑,
75', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Tsirigotis T. ↑,
79', Szymoniak O. ↓, Maliszewski I. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Michalski K. ⚽,
90+5', Podgorski J. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Miedź may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Polonia Bytom has had a series of away games.

Polonia Bytom could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
12.09.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Bytom	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Baník Ostrava B - Polonia Bytom	1:5 ✺
04.09.25	Cracovia - Polonia Bytom	0:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
30.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków	4:2 ✺
24.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWTWT
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
14.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Kraków	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Stal Rzeszów - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Miedź Legnica - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Chrobry Głogów - Miedź Legnica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
13.04.13	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Bytom	1:0

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