Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 31

Date: 8 May 2023, Monday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Miedź Legnica		Widzew Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.37
	2.88	3.05	2.55
	3.08	3.29	2.47
	2.88	3.1	2.35	Watch
	2.92	3.35	2.4	Watch
	2.76	3.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.62)	3.21 ↓ (3.24)	2.43 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
32.2%

Draw
29.2%

Widzew Łódź
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.8%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

28%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	31.2%	37.5%

Miedź Legnica - Widzew Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Widzew will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Widzew: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Miedź won 1.

Miedź is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Widzew has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Miedź could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There are questionable in Widzew: Nunes F. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Miedź won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Miedź won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.05.23	Cracovia - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Miedź Legnica - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
17.04.23	Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Miedź Legnica - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
01.04.23	Korona Kielce - Miedź Legnica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLTTL
- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.04.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Widzew Łódź - Piast Gliwice	2:3 ✺
16.04.23	Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Cracovia - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
21.10.22	Widzew Łódź - Miedź Legnica	1:0
Polish Division 1
15.05.22	Miedź Legnica - Widzew Łódź	1:0
07.11.21	Widzew Łódź - Miedź Legnica	1:1
30.04.21	Widzew Łódź - Miedź Legnica	0:0
06.11.20	Miedź Legnica - Widzew Łódź	1:1
04.04.15	Miedź Legnica - Widzew Łódź	6:1
06.09.14	Widzew Łódź - Miedź Legnica	0:0

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