Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 27

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: zondacrypto Arena (Częstochowa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Raków Częstochowa		Widzew Łódź

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.55	Watch
	2.11	3.32	3.79
	2.09	3.35	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.07	3.22	3.57	Watch
	2.07	3.09	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)	3.18 ↑ (3.09)	3.56 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
44.9%

Draw
29.1%

Widzew Łódź
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Raków Częstochowa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trelowski K. (G) 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 25. Racovitan B. 27. Dawidowicz P. 19. Ameyaw M. 23. Struski K. 6. Repka O. 20. Silva J. C. 9. Makuch P. 18. Brunes J. 39. Brusberg I.	1. Dragowski B. (G) 4. Zyro M. (C) 25. Wisniewski P. 14. Visus R. 3. Kozlovsky S. 10. Alvarez F. 18. Selahi L. 6. Shehu J. 8. Kornvig E. 9. Zeqiri A. 7. Fornalczyk M.
Substitutes
5. Bulat M. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 35. Ilenic M. 10. Lopez I. 44. Mircetic B. 2. Mosor A. 21. Napieraj J. 17. Rocha L. 4. Svarnas S. 7. Tudor F. 29. Zolneczko W. (G) 48. Zych O. (G)	5. Andreou S. 77. Baena Perez A. 99. Bergier S. 55. Czyz S. 30. Ilic V. (G) 2. Isaac C. 98. Kikolski M. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 19. Pawlowski B.
Coaches
Tomczyk L.	Vukovic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Arsenic Z. 🟨,
36', Arsenic Z. 🟨,
38', Brusberg I. ↓, Svarnas S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zyro M. ↓, Krajewski M. ↑,
66', Zeqiri A. ↓, Bergier S. ↑,
67', Trelowski K. ↓, Zych O. ↑,
67', Struski K. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
70', Visus R. 🟨,
77', Shehu J. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
83', 🟨,
84', Makuch P. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
84', Brunes J. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
90+1', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Pawlowski B. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Alvarez F. ⚽, Bergier S. (A),
90+7', 1 - 1, Svarnas S. ⚽, Diaby-Fadiga L. (A),
90+10', Baena Perez A. 🟨,
90+12', Dragowski B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 4.

Raków has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Widzew has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Widzew may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Raków might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pienko T. (Inactive) Tudor F. (Injury)

There will not play in Widzew: Czyz S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Widzew: Cheng C. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Raków won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Widzew Lodz: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	13:13	0	9
18	Rakow	10	1	0	9	13:25	-12	3

Last Results with these Odds

Widzew Łódź - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 28.63%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Raków Częstochowa - Stal Rzeszów	5:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.03.26	Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Raków Częstochowa - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.03.26	Górnik Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Fiorentina - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLL
- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.03.26	Widzew Łódź - Górnik Zabrze	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Arka Gdynia - Widzew Łódź	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
03.03.26	GKS Katowice - Widzew Łódź	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.02.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
28.09.25	Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	0:1
24.05.25	Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź	2:1
30.11.24	Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	2:3
27.04.24	Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	0:1
29.10.23	Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź	1:1
16.04.23	Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź	2:0
02.10.22	Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	0:0

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