Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	14:45	ESPN 2
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	14:45	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	01:45	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	12:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	18:45	TV3+, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:45	beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, CANAL+ Foot
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	17:45	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	23:15	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	02:45	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	23:45	Qazsport, Q Sport
Kosovo	18:45	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 2
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	11:45	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 4
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	03:45	TVWan Sports
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Voyo
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	01:45	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	00:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Vietnam	00:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360
International	17:45	Disney+, JioTV app, Virgin TV Go app


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	3.9	4	1.83
	3.8	3.75	1.88
	3.95	4.05	1.85	Watch
	4.09	4.01	1.87
	4.06	4.07	1.84	Watch
	3.9	3.8	1.91
	3.98	4.1	1.91
	3.95	4.05	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↓ (4.55)	3.98 ↓ (4.14)	1.87 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
24.3%

Draw
24.2%

Stuttgart
51.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21%

23%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

25%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stuttgart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.9%	15.7%	71.4%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 9 - 13.6%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 47 - 71.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 60.3% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gutesa I. (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 24. Djiga N. 5. Spajic U. (C) 70. Mimovic O. 6. Krunic R. 21. Elsnik T. 15. Silas 55. Maksimovic A. 27. Milson 9. Ndiaye C.	33. Nubel A. (G) 15. Stenzel P. 29. Rouault A. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 4. Vagnoman J. 8. Millot E. 27. Fuhrich C. 9. Demirovic E.
Substitutes
17. Bruno Duarte 22. Dalcio 28. Draskic V. (G) 33. Drkusic V. 1. Ilic M. (G) 4. Ivanic M. 8. Kanga G. 10. Katai A. 25. Lekovic S. 49. Radonjic N. 23. Rodic M.	30. Boakye B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 45. Chase A. 22. Kastanaras T. 5. Keitel Y. 13. Kratzig F. 47. Malanga J. 32. Rieder F. 41. Seimen D. (G) 20. Stergiou L.
Coaches
Milojevic V.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Demirovic E. ⚽, Millot E. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Silas ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Krunic R. ⚽, Seol Young-Woo (A),
45', Maksimovic A. 🟨,
45+2', Rodic M. 🟨,
45+2', Rouault A. 🟨,
45+2', Ndiaye C. 🟨,
45+2', Milojevic V. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Stenzel P. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
52', Krunic R. 🟨,
59', Maksimovic A. ↓, Ivanic M. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Ivanic M. ⚽, Elsnik T. (A),
67', Milson ↓, Radonjic N. ↑,
67', Ndiaye C. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
69', 4 - 1, Radonjic N. ⚽, Krunic R. (A),
76', Millot E. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
76', Vagnoman J. ↓, Stergiou L. ↑,
77', Silas ↓, Kanga G. ↑,
77', Krunic R. ↓, Dalcio ↑,
84', Stiller A. ↓, Keitel Y. ↑,
84', Fuhrich C. ↓, Boakye B. ↑,
88', 5 - 1, Radonjic N. ⚽, Elsnik T. (A),

Preview

Crvena Zvezda is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Stuttgart is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crvena Zvezda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Stuttgart have a series of home games.

In this match Stuttgart is a favorite.

There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Avdic A. (Knee Injury) Olayinka P. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Leweling J. (Muscle Injury) Toure E. B. (Knock) Undav D. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Crvena Zvezda: Bruno Duarte (Muscle Injury) Mimovic O. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Illness)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
10.11.24	OFK Beograd - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.11.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Barcelona	2:5 ✺
Serbian Superliga
03.11.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Vojvodina	3:0 ✺
Serbian Cup
30.10.24	Tekstilac Odžaci - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:7 ✺
Serbian Superliga
26.10.24	Spartak Subotica - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
23.11.24	Stuttgart - Bochum	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.11.24	Stuttgart - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Stuttgart - Kaiserslautern	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLTW

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