Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, ZAP
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Angola	18:00	Z Sport 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	18:00	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	21:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	18:00	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	14:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	TLN, VIVA
China	01:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 2
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	18:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	01:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	18:00	Match 4, Net4+
India	22:30	GXR World
Indonesia	00:00	Vidio
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	ART Sport 2
Macao	01:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV3
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 2
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	20:00	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Arab Emirates	21:00	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Usa	12:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+
Vietnam	00:00	ON Plus
International	17:00	Disney+, Onefootball


	Milan		Empoli

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	10	Watch
	1.32	5.25	9.75
	1.32	4.95	11
	1.34	5.27	10.5
	1.35	5.18	9.76	Watch
	1.3	5	10
	1.35	5.55	10.4	Watch
	1.33	5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)	5.12 ↑ (4.86)	10.3 ↑ (8.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Milan
72%

Draw
18.7%

Empoli
9.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.2%

19.7%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

19%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.5%	15.4%	5.1%

Milan - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.12% – 91.64%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 46. Gabbia M. 28. Thiaw M. 19. Hernandez T. (C) 29. Fofana Y. 14. Reijnders T. 80. Musah Y. 11. Pulisic C. 7. Morata A. 10. Leao R.	23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. (C) 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 6. Henderson L. 8. Anjorin F. 3. Pezzella G. 29. Colombo L. 93. Maleh Y. 9. Pellegri P.
Substitutes
90. Abraham T. 2. Calabria D. 73. Camarda F. 21. Chukwueze S. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 17. Okafor N. 31. Pavlovic S. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 42. Terracciano F. 23. Tomori F. 96. Torriani L. (G)	36. Bacci J. 16. Belardinelli L. 37. Bembnista D. 13. Cacace L. 19. Ekong E. 99. Esposito Se. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 1. Perisan S. (G) 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 17. Solbakken O. 31. Tosto L.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Morata A. ⚽,
25', Gabbia M. 🟨,
25', Fonseca P. 🟨,
35', Colombo L. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Reijnders T. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pezzella G. ↓, Cacace L. ↑,
46', Colombo L. ↓, Solbakken O. ↑,
57', Musah Y. 🟨,
66', Anjorin F. ↓, Esposito Se. ↑,
67', Henderson L. 🟨,
69', 3 - 0, Reijnders T. ⚽, Fofana Y. (A),
71', Goglichidze S. ↓, Marianucci L. ↑,
75', Musah Y. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
75', Gabbia M. ↓, Pavlovic S. ↑,
75', Fofana Y. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
76', Pellegri P. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
81', Morata A. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
84', Leao R. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 4.

Milan is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Empoli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Empoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Milan have a series of guest games.

In this match Milan is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Calf Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Jovic L. (Injury)

There will not play in Empoli: De Sciglio M. (Injury) Fazzini J. (Injury) Haas N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Brancolini F. (Injury) Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Esposito Se. (Injury) Grassi A. (Injury) Sazonov S. (Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Milan to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Milan won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:13 (average 2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
UEFA Champions League
26.11.24	Slovan Bratislava - Milan	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.11.24	Milan - Juventus	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Cagliari - Milan	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.24	Real Madrid - Milan	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.24	Monza - Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTTWW
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
25.11.24	Empoli - Udinese	1:1 ✺
08.11.24	Lecce - Empoli	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Empoli - Como	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:3 ✺
27.10.24	Parma - Empoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
10.03.24	Milan - Empoli	1:0
07.01.24	Empoli - Milan	0:3
07.04.23	Milan - Empoli	0:0
01.10.22	Empoli - Milan	1:3
12.03.22	Milan - Empoli	1:0
22.12.21	Empoli - Milan	2:4
22.02.19	Milan - Empoli	3:0

Upcoming Matches