Match Info

Liga Women - Round 15

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata (Barrancabermeja)


	Alianza Valledupar		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	6.35	5.4	1.36
				Watch
	7.08	5.05	1.35
	3.75	3.5	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.73 ↑ (4.41)	4.65 ↑ (3.52)	1.48 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Valledupar
16.4%

Draw
20.2%

Millonarios
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25.8%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

25.3%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millonarios, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Millonarios (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Patino N. (G) 18. Vera H. 3. Ramos T. 2. Saldarriaga L. 6. Sandoval A. 24. Gallego M. 10. Constante S. (C) 4. Osuna L. 99. Garrido E. 20. Mendivelso N. 14. Diaz H.	12. Gamboa D. (G) 13. Leal M. 23. Viafara F. 26. Benavides M. 17. Tamayo L. 8. Ortegon J. 4. Bolano L. 10. Castellanos D. 7. Castaneda Vanegas A. J. 16. Gomez L. 15. Ariza T.
Substitutes
8. Cabrales V. 17. Giraldo M. 19. Gomez E. 21. Granados K. 28. Jaimes F. 30. Perez E. 26. Saravia A. (G)	28. Agudelo M. 14. Gutierrez M. 21. Madrid N. 25. Olaya R. 6. Olivares L. 30. Reyes L. (G) 22. Torres M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Gomez L. ⚽, Castellanos D. (A),
34', Constante S. 🟨,
43', Ortegon J. 🟨,
43', Gallego M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vera H. ↓, Cabrales V. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Ortegon J. ⚽,
59', Sandoval A. ↓, Jaimes F. ↑,
62', Osuna L. 🟨,
69', 0 - 3, Castaneda Vanegas A. J. ⚽,
70', Osuna L. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
74', Ortegon J. ↓, Madrid N. ↑,
76', Ariza T. ↓, Olaya R. ↑,
85', Castellanos D. ↓, Olivares L. ↑,
90+2', Bolano L. 🟨,
90+2', Jaimes F. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).

Alianza has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Millonarios has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Millonarios is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alianza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Alianza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Valledupar Women
Colombian Liga Women
10.06.25	Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar	4:3 ✺
24.05.25	Alianza Valledupar - Inter Palmira	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Millonarios Women
Colombian Liga Women
09.06.25	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
26.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	0:1 ✺
19.05.25	Millonarios - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
13.05.25	Real Santander - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
05.05.25	Millonarios - Inter Palmira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
09.03.24	Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios	1:1

Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide