Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	12:00	beIN Sports
Brazil	23:00	ESPN 4


	Millonarios		Palestino

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5.25
	1.65	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.73	5.7
	1.68	3.73	5.58
	1.5	4	6.5	Watch
	1.67	3.75	5.4	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.5)	3.7 ↓ (3.8)	5.6 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millonarios
57.6%

Draw
25.5%

Palestino
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

24.3%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

24.4%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Millonarios - Palestino Predictions

Users Predictions: Millonarios will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Montero A. (G) 22. Alfonzo D. 26. Llinas A. 4. Vargas J. P. 37. Hernandez J. 21. Pereira J. 8. Giraldo D. 7. Rodriguez E. 14. Silva D. 18. Ruiz D. 9. Carvajal J.	1. Rigamonti C. (G) 3. Rojas B. 17. Roman I. 13. Suarez C. 22. Chamorro F. 23. Martinez Arce A. E. 8. Cornejo F. 10. Davila Carvajal M. 7. Carrasco B. 27. Marabel J. 11. Benitez J.
Substitutes
33. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 17. Arias J. 20. Banguero D. 35. Brochero R. 41. Campaz Sandoval B. S. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 34. Navarro S. 12. Novoa D. (G) 25. Paredes L. 5. Vasquez L. 28. Vega S.	14. Abrigo J. 16. Bizama J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 26. Contreras D. (G) 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 18. Fuentes M. 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 24. Palacio P. 19. Vejar B.
Coaches
Gamero A.	Sanchez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Carvajal J. ⚽, Alfonzo D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Carrasco B. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
56', Chamorro F. ↓, Abrigo J. ↑,
61', Marabel J. 🟨,
62', Benitez J. 🟨,
64', Giraldo D. 🟨,
76', Rodriguez E. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
76', Benitez J. ↓, Fuentes M. ↑,
76', Cornejo F. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
83', Ruiz D. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
83', Rojas B. ↓, Espinoza Hevia V. A. ↑,
87', Carvajal J. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
87', Silva D. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
88', Espinoza Hevia V. A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Marabel J. ⚽, Fuentes M. (A),
90+4', Suarez C. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Millonarios is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palestino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Palestino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Palestino have a series of home games.

In this match Millonarios is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
11.05.24	Millonarios - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.05.24	Millonarios - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
04.05.24	Junior Barranquilla - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Millonarios - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.04.24	Palestino - Millonarios	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLWL
- CD Palestino Santiago
Copa Libertadores
07.05.24	Palestino - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
03.05.24	Palestino - Deportes Copiapó	3:1 ✺
28.04.24	Deportes Iquique - Palestino	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.04.24	Palestino - Millonarios	3:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.04.24	Palestino - Universidad de Chile	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
25.04.24	Palestino - Millonarios	3:1

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