The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Valledupar 25.8%
Draw 27.9%
Millonarios 46.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
29.8%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
29.5%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Valledupar's form might have worsened.
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millonarios, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Millonarios will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wallens J. (G) 16. Rosales Y. 5. Franco P. (C) 23. Viveros J. 33. Lasso J. 15. Esparragoza C. 10. Fernandez W. 8. Munoz J. 17. Pardo F. 27. Londono Y. 28. Osorio J.
1. De Amores G. (G) 2. Sarabia C. 26. Llinas A. 17. Arias J. 4. Elizalde E. 30. Viveros S. 19. Garcia M. 18. Urena R. 14. Silva D. (C) 27. Contreras R. 23. Castro L.
Substitutes
24. Banguero E. 21. Cantillo F. 7. Castillo J. 22. Figueroa J. 26. Martinez M. 25. Perez Balcazar J. E. 13. Simancas A. (G) 30. Valoyes J. 14. Villegas C.
24. Angulo J. 20. Banguero D. 33. Castro A. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 99. Hurtado J. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 38. Rodriguez D. (G) 3. Samuel M. 28. Vega S.
Coaches
Ayala C.
Bustos F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Rosales Y. 🟨,
20', Lasso J. 🟨,
41', Llinas A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Londono Y. ⚽, Pardo F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Elizalde E. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
54', Osorio J. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
54', Sarabia C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
54', Garcia M. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Franco P. ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, Contreras R. ⚽, Castro L. (A),
59', Lasso J. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
60', Pardo F. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
66', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
70', Esparragoza C. ↓, Cantillo F. ↑,
70', Fernandez W. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
75', Viveros S. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
75', Silva D. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
83', Cantillo F. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Contreras R. ⚽, Castro L. (A),
90+2', Castillo J. 🟨,
90+2', Banguero E. 🟨,
90+5', Urena R. 🟨,
90+8', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Millonarios has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
Colombia
South-america
Usa
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Wallens J. (G) 
Fernandez W. 
Urena R. 
Contreras R. 
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