Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 March 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV


	Millonarios		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	7	Watch
	1.44	4.1	7.5
	1.38	4.5	9.5
	1.44	3.9	6.8
	1.5	3.81	8.16
	1.44	3.7	7.5
	1.45	4.2	7.7	Watch
	1.44	3.95	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.69)	3.99 ↑ (3.25)	7.65 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millonarios
64.4%

Draw
23.4%

Universidad Católica
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

28.3%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

28%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millonarios's performance.

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millonarios that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Millonarios - Universidad Católica Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Millonarios is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
26.02.23	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.02.23	Universidad Católica - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
18.02.23	Millonarios - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Deportivo Pereira - Millonarios	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.23	Millonarios - LDU Quito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWWT
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
25.02.23	Universidad Católica - Palestino	5:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.02.23	Universidad Católica - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
18.02.23	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Universidad Católica - Cobresal	3:3 ✺
03.02.23	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
23.02.23	Universidad Católica - Millonarios	0:0

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