The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Once Caldas 38.5%
Draw 29.4%
Millonarios 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.3%
30%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
29.1%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Caldas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millonarios, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Once Caldas - Millonarios Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Millonarios will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Parra J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 16. Castano J. 2. Cardona J. 30. Tamayo K. 42. Quinones J. 88. Mejia R. 10. Sanchez L. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A. 17. Moreno D. (C) 9. Gomez P.
12. Novoa D. (G) 2. Sarabia C. 26. Llinas A. 4. Elizalde E. 17. Arias J. 22. Valencia S. 19. Garcia M. 18. Urena R. 14. Silva D. (C) 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 27. Contreras R.
Substitutes
12. Aguirre J. (G) 15. Alvarado J. 7. Barrios M. 23. Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 21. Guzman H. 33. Patino J. 20. Roa A. 19. Rojas T. 26. Zuleta M.
24. Angulo J. 20. Banguero D. 1. De Amores G. (G) 99. Hurtado J. 35. Mosquera S. 7. Quintero D. 3. Samuel M. 28. Vega S. 30. Viveros S.
Coaches
Herrera H.
Bustos F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
36', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
36', Herrera H. 🟨,
45+2', Mejia R. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Urena R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
53', Contreras R. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Silva D. ⚽, Valencia S. (A),
60', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
60', Gomez P. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
62', Silva D. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
66', Garcia M. 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽,
72', Quinones J. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
72', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
72', Garcia M. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Contreras R. ⚽, Elizalde E. (A),
80', Sanchez L. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
80', Tamayo K. ↓, Patino J. ↑,
82', 1 - 4, Llinas A. ⚽, Urena R. (A),
84', Valencia S. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
84', Contreras R. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 1.
Once Caldas has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Millonarios is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Once Caldas might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Millonarios
14
5
7
2
19:12
7
22
9
Once Caldas
13
4
4
5
16:16
0
16
Last Results with these Odds
Millonarios - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.7%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Parra J. (G) 
Elizalde E. 
Urena R. 
Contreras R. 
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