Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 23 February 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Machado B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV


	Universidad Católica		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.7	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.7
	2.63	3.15	2.8
	2.63	3.19	2.86
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.56	3.24	2.79	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.1)	3.09 ↓ (3.4)	2.76 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
36.1%

Draw
30.1%

Millonarios
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica's form might have worsened.

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Universidad Católica - Millonarios Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Millonarios will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Universidad Católica is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Millonarios is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Millonarios could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
18.02.23	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Universidad Católica - Cobresal	3:3 ✺
03.02.23	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Universidad Católica - Curicó Unido	3:1 ✺
22.01.23	Everton de Viña - Universidad Católica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLWW
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
18.02.23	Millonarios - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Deportivo Pereira - Millonarios	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.23	Millonarios - LDU Quito	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	River Plate Montevideo - Millonarios	2:0 ✺
11.01.23	Hertha Berlin - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTLT

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