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Current Win Probability
Milton Keynes Dons 57.3%
Draw 23.8%
Accrington Stanley 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.6%
22.9%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.2%
22%
14.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milton Keynes Dons will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 16. Nemane A. 15. Offord L. 21. Ekpiteta M. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 7. Crowley D. 6. Kelly L. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 11. Mendez-Laing N. 13. Paterson C. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R.
13. Wright O. (G) 25. Smith J. 17. Matthews D. 14. Ward B. 20. Brown C. 28. Conneely S. (C) 16. Bauress J. 30. Heath I. 39. Woods J. 11. Sinclair I. 23. Walton T.
Substitutes
18. Collar W. 9. Hogan S. 17. Leko J. 23. Maguire L. 49. Medwynter C. 20. Thompson-Sommers K. 27. Trueman C. (G)
18. Caton C. 6. Coyle L. 4. Grant C. 10. Henderson A. 1. Kelly M. (G) 2. Love D. 22. Martin D.
Coaches
Warne P.
Doolan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Kelly L. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Sinclair I. ⚽, Walton T. (A),
27', Heath I. 🟨,
38', Conneely S. 🟨,
45', Offord L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kelly L. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Gilbey A. ⚽,
52', Lemonheigh-Evans C. 🟨,
65', Conneely S. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
65', Walton T. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Caton C. ⚽, Heath I. (A),
79', Brown C. ↓, Love D. ↑,
79', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Maguire L. ↑,
79', Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
83', Woods J. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
87', Crowley D. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
87', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
90+5', Gilbey A. 🟨,
90+5', Offord L. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 3.
MK Dons has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Accrington has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G.
(Injury)
Tomlinson J.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Thompson N.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C.
(Injury)
Rawson F.
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
Watch
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MacGillivray C. (G) 
Nemane A. 
Offord L. 
Lemonheigh-Evans C. 
Kelly L. 
Mendez-Laing N. 
Coyle L. 
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