Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 8

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadium MK (Milton Keynes)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)


	Milton Keynes Dons		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.75	2.25
	3	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.11	3.64	2.29
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.04	3.5	2.26	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.25)	3.52 ↓ (3.54)	2.23 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
31.3%

Draw
26.7%

Stockport County
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milton Keynes Dons's form might have worsened.

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Milton Keynes Dons - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Stockport will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 5. O'Hora W. 4. Tucker J. 15. Smith T. 2. Norman C. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 28. Devoy D. 17. Robson E. 21. Harvie D. 7. Leko J. 10. Eisa M.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 15. Pye E. 6. Horsfall F. 3. Touray I. 7. Southam M. 14. Collar W. 18. Croasdale R. (C) 10. Sarcevic A. 25. Olaofe I. 11. Powell N. 20. Barry L.
Substitutes
18. Dean M. 9. Harrison E. 32. Kelly M. (G) 3. Lewington D. 11. Payne J. 26. Stewart A. 14. Tomlinson J.	27. Bailey O. 22. Cotterill J. 9. Madden P. 23. Pond A. 26. Richardson J. 12. Smith J. (G) 4. Wright A.
Coaches
Alexander G.	Challinor D.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

MK Dons is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Stockport is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
09.09.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.08.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Chelsea U21	4:1 ✺
English League Two
26.08.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWWW
- Stockport County
English League Two
09.09.23	AFC Wimbledon - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Stockport County - Crawley Town	3:3 ✺
26.08.23	Mansfield Town - Stockport County	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.08.23	Stockport County - Manchester United U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
19.08.23	Stockport County - Barrow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLLW

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