Match Info

League Two - Round 44

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Alexandra Stadium (Crewe)

Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Crewe Alexandra		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2.01	Watch
	3.35	3.7	1.98	Watch
	3.53	3.83	2.05
	3.53	3.6	1.97	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2
	3.44	3.54	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.19)	3.61 ↑ (3.46)	2.01 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
27.2%

Draw
26%

Milton Keynes Dons
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

26.6%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26.1%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). MK Dons will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Lawlor I. (G) 2. Billington L. 18. Connolly J. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 17. Holicek M. 6. Sanders M. H. 26. O'Reilly T. 20. Agius C. 24. March J. 36. Tezgel E.	1. MacGillivray C. (G) 21. Ekpiteta M. 25. Nelson C. 32. Sanders J. 2. Jones G. 6. Kelly L. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 14. Tomlinson J. 26. Wiles B. 11. Mendez-Laing N. 13. Paterson C.
Substitutes
1. Booth T. (G) 14. Finney C. 25. Pond A. 23. Powell J. 29. Thibaut A. 8. Thomas C. 10. Tracey S.	10. Collins A. 7. Crowley D. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 9. Hogan S. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 16. Nemane A. 27. Trueman C. (G)
Coaches
Bell L.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Nelson C. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Ekpiteta M. ⚽, Mendez-Laing N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', O'Reilly T. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
46', Agius C. ↓, Pond A. ↑,
59', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
60', Gilbey A. 🟨,
66', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
66', 0 - 3, Gilbey A. ⚽, Ekpiteta M. (A),
74', Holicek M. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
74', Sanders M. H. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Thibaut A. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
84', Kelly L. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

MK Dons will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O. (Back Injury) Tabiner J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in MK Dons: Mellish J. (Red Card) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J. (Inactive) Thomas C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W. (Hamstring Injury) Maguire L. (Inactive) Matete J. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Crewe: 3.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Crewe	10	4	6	0	12:7	5	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
11.04.26	Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra	3:2 ✺
06.04.26	Crewe Alexandra - Salford City	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Crewe Alexandra - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Shrewsbury Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWW
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
11.04.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Bromley	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Oldham Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Salford City - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Barnet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.10.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra	3:0
21.04.25	Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1
29.12.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
16.03.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra	3:1
02.09.23	Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1
English League One
05.04.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra	2:1
30.10.21	Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons	1:4

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