Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadium MK (Milton Keynes)


	Milton Keynes Dons		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	1.2	7.5	12
	1.17	6.5	14
	1.18	6.5	16
	1.18	6.6	15
	1.17	7.11	17.59
	1.14	5.8	19
	1.14	7.1	16.5	Watch
	1.18	7	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.34)	6.76 ↑ (5.18)	15.76 ↑ (7.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
80.2%

Draw
13.9%

Taunton Town
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

17.3%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milton Keynes Dons's performance.

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taunton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milton Keynes Dons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taunton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Milton Keynes Dons - Taunton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Taunton will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match MK Dons is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
29.10.22	Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0 ✺
25.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Plymouth Argyle	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLWL
- Taunton Town
English National League South
29.10.22	Taunton Town - Tonbridge Angels	4:1 ✺
25.10.22	Oxford City - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Worthing - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
18.10.22	Taunton Town - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Yeovil Town - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLTWT

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