Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Hair N. (Eng)


	Charlton Athletic		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.8	4.75
	1.7	3.7	4.6
	1.75	3.6	5
	1.7	3.7	4.5
	1.71	3.87	5.15
	1.7	3.6	4.8
	1.73	3.94	4.95	Watch
	1.72	3.75	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.87)	3.75 ↑ (3.47)	4.79 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
55.2%

Draw
25.2%

Milton Keynes Dons
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

26.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlton Athletic's performance.

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	4.3%	13%

Charlton Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: Charlton Athletic will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Charlton has the most likely position - 8 (9.34%), has project points - 70, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (22%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

MK Dons has the most likely position - 17 (8.1%), has project points - 53, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 24, small importance 22, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlton won 2.

Charlton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

MK Dons is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

MK Dons could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Charlton is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Charlton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
22.10.22	Shrewsbury Town - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
17.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	3:0 ✺
11.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Exeter City	4:2 ✺
08.10.22	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.10.22	Colchester United - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWTL
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
22.10.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Plymouth Argyle	1:4 ✺
11.10.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
22.02.22	Charlton Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2
English EFL Trophy
04.01.22	Charlton Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0
English League One
17.08.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Charlton Athletic	2:1
26.01.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Charlton Athletic	0:1
02.12.20	Charlton Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1
English League Cup
14.08.18	Milton Keynes Dons - Charlton Athletic	3:0
English League One
17.02.18	Milton Keynes Dons - Charlton Athletic	1:2

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