Match Info

League Two - Round 34

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Location: Bescot Stadium (Walsall)

Referee: Wright P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Walsall		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.25
	3.45	3.35	2.08	Watch
	2.97	3.25	2.45
	3.23	3.3	2.19	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.1
	3.52	3.22	2.11	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.47)	3.23 ↑ (3.15)	2.2 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Walsall
28.5%

Draw
29%

Milton Keynes Dons
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30.4%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Walsall's form might have worsened.

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milton Keynes Dons's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	16.7%	72.2%

Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Walsall will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). MK Dons will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milton Keynes Dons will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hornby S. (G) 6. Farquharson P. 4. Flint A. (C) 35. Lopata K. 17. Clarke C. 23. Pattison A. 14. Comley B. 25. Okeke J. 15. Kanu D. 8. Lakin C. 19. Pressley A.	1. MacGillivray C. (G) 21. Ekpiteta M. 25. Nelson C. 15. Offord L. 2. Jones G. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 6. Kelly L. 22. Mellish J. 26. Wiles B. 7. Crowley D. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R.
Substitutes
37. Adomah A. 5. Burke H. 18. Harper V. 22. Jellis J. 21. Kilroy J. (G) 11. Loupalo-Bi A. 31. Richards R.	9. Hogan S. 17. Leko J. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 16. Nemane A. 32. Sanders J. 14. Tomlinson J. 27. Trueman C. (G)
Coaches
Sadler M. J.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Pattison A. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Gilbey A. (A),
44', Crowley D. 🟨,
45', Flint A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Mellish J. 🟨,
59', Pattison A. ↓, Jellis J. ↑,
59', Lakin C. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
69', Ekpiteta M. 🟨,
74', Crowley D. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
76', Okeke J. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
76', Lopata K. ↓, Burke H. ↑,
82', Clarke C. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Mellish J. ⚽, Ekpiteta M. (A),
86', Jones G. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
90+2', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
90+2', Kelly L. ↓, Sanders J. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 2.

Walsall is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

MK Dons is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

MK Dons is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Walsall: Hollman J. (Inactive) Roberts M. (Red Card) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Walsall: Matt J. (Inactive) Roofe K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Inactive) Paterson C. (Inactive) Sanders J. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Walsall: 3.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Walsall	9	3	6	0	12:6	6	15

Last Results with these Odds

Walsall - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.01%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.04%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walsall FC
English League Two
18.02.26	Grimsby Town - Walsall	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Walsall - Barnet	1:3 ✺
03.02.26	Bristol Rovers - Walsall	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Chesterfield - Walsall	2:2 ✺
27.01.26	Walsall - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTT
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
17.02.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2 ✺
27.01.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
30.08.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Walsall	0:1
18.01.25	Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons	4:2
07.09.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Walsall	1:0
29.03.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Walsall	5:0
03.10.23	Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2
English League One
03.02.18	Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0

Upcoming Matches