Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Minera		Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.8	3.9
	1.9	3.15	3.7
	1.87	3.26	4.08	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	1.88	3.13	4.04
	1.88	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)	3.95 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minera
47.7%

Draw
29.3%

Puente Genil
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

29.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

31%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minera than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Minera - Puente Genil Predictions

Users Predictions: Minera will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Minera will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Mesa R. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 2 - 0, Mesa R. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Perez M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
88', Mirapeix D. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Minera is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Puente Genil	5	1	1	3	5:5	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Minera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.12.25	Antoniano - Minera	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Minera - CD Extremadura	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Malagueño - Minera	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Minera - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Minera	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWWL
- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.12.25	Puente Genil - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Estepona - Puente Genil	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Puente Genil - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Puente Genil - Melilla	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWTL

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