Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Puente Genil		Melilla

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.98	3.25
	2.11	3.1	3.46
	2.46	2.97	2.90	Watch
	2.14	2.99	3.35
	2.12	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.46)	3.01 ↑ (2.97)	3.29 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puente Genil
41.8%

Draw
30.4%

Melilla
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30.9%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puente Genil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Puente Genil - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Puente Genil is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puente Genil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Puente Genil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Puente Genil - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
12.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Antoniano - Puente Genil	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Puente Genil - Águilas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLLW
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Melilla	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Melilla - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Águilas - Melilla	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Melilla - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Antoniano - Melilla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.08.25	Puente Genil - Melilla	Canceled

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