Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Xerez Deportivo		Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.25
	1.92	3.21	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.02)	3.11 ↑ (3)	4.25 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
48.8%

Draw
29.6%

Puente Genil
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

29.7%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Xerez Deportivo - Puente Genil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Charid I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Xerez Deportivo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Puente Genil is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Puente Genil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Xerez Deportivo is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Xerez Deportivo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Xerez Deportivo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	Melilla - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	CD Extremadura - Xerez Deportivo	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Xerez Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWLT
- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	Puente Genil - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
12.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Antoniano - Puente Genil	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Puente Genil - Águilas	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Puente Genil - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
21.01.24	Puente Genil - Xerez Deportivo	1:1
10.09.23	Xerez Deportivo - Puente Genil	0:0
10.04.21	Xerez Deportivo - Puente Genil	2:1
17.03.19	Xerez Deportivo - Puente Genil	0:0

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